Presidential Election
Could McCain Have Carried Pennsylvania?
McCain’s 10-point percentage loss to Obama (he won the state by an approximate 54%-44% margin) has to be considered a landslide victory for Obama. In 2004 and 2000, both Democratic presidential candidates John Kerry and Al Gore carried the Keystone State by 2.4% and 4% respectively against President Bush in both 2004 and 2000. Therefore, [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( 1 so far )Palin’s VP Performance Was Good, but Probably Not a Game Changer in PA
Sarah Palin obviously exceeded most expectations in last night’s vice presidential debate with Sen. Biden. She held her own, showed a good command of the issues, wasn’t afraid to call Biden/Obama on the carpet, and reminded voters of her working class roots that Americans remembered from her debut to the nation during the GOP Convention. [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )The Palin Effect
So what effect is Sarah Palin having on the ticket? Obviously a good one so far, but the key is how she handles herself the next 2 weeks on two key things: the VP debate scheduled for early October when she squares off against the seasoned Biden, and the unscripted one-on-one interviews with the press. [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )Going after the white, working class vote: the real “swing voters” in the presidential race
If the presidential primaries taught us anything, it’s that both Senators Obama and Clinton relied on distinctly different constituencies to carry them through the state-by-state contests. For Sen. Obama, he ran well with African-Americans, white collar professionals, young voters, first-time voters, voters who are hungry for “change”, and higher income voters. For Clinton, she won [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )PA May Determine Who Wins the White House
…And this may surprise you, but the GOP is making inroads
By Steve Dull, Senior Consultant, Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc
Pennsylvania will be every bit a toss-up state as it was in 2004 and may very well be the key to which party wins the White House in November. If anything, the state is trending slightly Republican [...]
How Can Republican Candidates Survive the Political Environment?
No doubt about it. The GOP brand is at an all time low, and for many reasons this should be the Democrats’ year. Consider the following: Approximately 75% of Americans say the country is on the wrong track, a sentiment which historically works against the party occupying the White House. A majority of Americans –and [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )Speech to PA School Boards’ Association, 5/18/08, 8PM
Good evening everyone. Let’s first talk about the status of the race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama from a national perspective. Even with Hillary Clinton’s huge win in West Virginia this past week, her expected win in Kentucky this coming week, and her 9-point win in PA a month ago, it’s still unlikely [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )New PA Poll Shows Clinton, Obama Leading McCain, but Clinton Stronger
A new statewide poll released Friday, May 9, with Pennsylvania likely voters conducted by Harrisburg-based Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc., shows Hillary Clinton beating John McCain in a hypothetical general election match-up by a 49/38 margin if she is the Democratic nominee, while Barack Obama leads McCain by a closer 46/39 margin. The current poll [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( None so far )Speech to PA Business Council Election Forum, 5/6/08, 2PM
Good afternoon. Let’s first talk about the status of the race between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama from a national perspective. Even with Hillary Clinton’s win in PA two weeks ago, it’s still unlikely she can legitimately claim the rights to the nomination unless she convinces more super delegates to vote for her. Obama [...]
Read Full Post | Make a Comment ( 5 so far )Clinton’s PA Win Expected, but McCain Should Hope for Obama Ticket in November
Clinton’s win in PA was projected for weeks, with the real debate more centered about whether it would be a narrow victory or a 10-point win like in Ohio and New Jersey. Her near 10-point margin in the state proved once again she has a much broader base of support than Obama. She won [...]
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